Notas ao café…

Ditadores e os filhos…

Posted in notas ao café by JN on Setembro 22, 2010


Arcadio

No Barking up the wrong tree (um blog que só fala de coisas interessantes sem nenhum aparente interesse), Eric Barker recupera um antigo artigo que tenta explicar porque os ditadores têm mais filhos que os líderes democráticos:

Economists have come to learn that politics matters. But survival matters the most to those involved in politics. We provide a theory whereby non-benevolent, non-democratic leaders increase their expected family size to raise the likelihood that a child will be a match at continuing the regime’s survival. As a consequence, having a larger family size raises the non-democratic leader’s expected rents that they can exploit from the citizenry. In contrast, democratic leaders have a lower desire to appropriate rents from the citizenry, and therefore have a diminished desire to have additional children for these purposes. We construct a data set of the number of children of country leaders as of August 31, 2005. We find that in a sample of 221 country leaders, fully non-democratic leaders have approximately 1.5–2.5 more actual children as compared to if they are fully democratic. This empirical relationship is established controlling for a full array of country specific as well as individual specific variables. Our finding also continues to hold when using alternative measures of family size.

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